snapshot · static · refreshed 2026-05-13 14:02 UTC · live dashboard updates hourly
Vol. I

The Speculator’s Ledger

live mode: sim
Polymarket trading desk An autonomous prediction-market agent sim mode
Closing bankroll
3,412.95

Across evaluations since reset on , the desk is in 24 hours and against the opening line.

24-hour change
$-83.24 (-2.38%)
Since reset
$-4,587.05 (-57.34%)
Open positions
19
Strategies
10
Drawdown breakdown drawdown $-4,587.05 realised $-1,724.85 unrealised $-138.77 other $-2,723.43
I

The equity curve

Bankroll history with the A/B reset baseline.

High
Low
Drawdown
Volatility (1h)
Solid line: realised & unrealised bankroll. Dotted: notional break-even at reset. Crosshair on hover.
II

Strategies, by absolute impact

Realised P/L since A/B reset, ranked by influence on the bankroll.

Share of realised loss · since reset
III

The open book

Top positions by capital outlay. Mark-to-market unrealised P/L & paired exposure where the agent is on both sides of a single market.

Market Side Entry Mark Cost Unrealised Resolves
IV

The live tape

Why the agent did not trade — refusals aggregated by strategy and gate.

Recent window
V

Markets in observation

Live mid-prices & gates that have passed for each watchlist market.

Market Yes Spread Gates passed
VI

System health

LLM activity, settlements ledger and weekly P/L pulse — for the engineer, not the speculator.

LLM activity (24 h)

Strategy Calls Intents Conv. $/intent

Settlements (7 d)