Depletion analysis —
UAE MoD data — highest confidence series. Ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and drones intercepted since Feb 28.
Confirmed floor (solid) vs best-estimate range (shaded). Methodology shift on Day 20.
Estimated remaining operational ballistic missile launchers. This is the binding constraint — not missile stocks.
Cumulative intercepts by target country (latest available figures).
| Category | Pre-war | Fired (est) | Remaining (est) | Confidence |
|---|